Sunday, February 20, 2022

To date, the number of truckers displaced by autonomous vehicles is zero, despite predictions otherwise

See ‘The Cloud Revolution’ and ‘The Work of the Future’ Review: Anticipating a Boom: Could it be that advances in technology, already embedded in our daily lives, will create broad, exponential economic growth? by Marc Levinson.

"Years before a purported shortage of truck drivers brought us empty supermarket shelves, a purported surplus of truck drivers was making headlines. In 2016, the Council of Economic Advisers warned that nearly all jobs driving heavy trucks were threatened by self-driving vehicles. A year later, Goldman Sachs foresaw 300,000 jobs vanishing annually when autonomous vehicles take over. The Guardian reported that “self-driving trucks are set to lay waste to one of the country’s most beloved jobs—and the fallout could be huge.” Perhaps such carnage will yet devastate the truck-driving profession. To date, though, the number of truckers displaced by autonomous vehicles is zero."

"'many U.S. manufacturers still reject robots, which are seen to be inflexible and hard to integrate into a production process. Similarly, artificial intelligence has replaced human labor only for certain specialized tasks: It helps answer the questions that customers ask through an insurance company’s website, but it hasn’t supplanted insurance agents. AI and robotic applications are coming, but “they are not as close as some would fear.”"

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