By Tarnell Brown. At EconLog.
"The Roman Empire was in trouble.
During the fifty-plus years known as the Crisis of the Third Century
(235-284 AD), the throne of Rome changed some 26 times, with the Roman
Army engaging in a steady diet of crowning and removing claimants to the
throne. These autocrats, known as “barracks emperors,” because they
often came from among the ranks of the army itself, were generally
disastrous in their administration of the Empire, due to a glaring lack
of experience in political matters. As they were beholden to the
military, much of economic policy was geared towards keeping the soldiers happy.
Severus Alexander, who while not a soldier owed his throne to the
Praetorian Guard, began debasing the purity of silver coinage so that he
could double the pay of his soldiers, while simultaneously paying for
military campaigns against the Alamanni Germanic tribes. His occupation
with the Alamanni left Rome’s other borders undefended, leading to
attacks and invasions from other parties such as the Sassanids, leading
to his assassination by the very Praetorian Guard which had placed him
into power. This, however, is of ancillary interest to our story; what
is important about these invasions is that Severus devalued the currency
further to pay off his invaders so that he could concentrate on the
Alemanni, laying the foundation for continued inflationary policy by his
successors.
By the time Diocletian came to power
in 284 CE, his (non-immediate) predecessor, Aurelius, had done much to
restore some semblance of order to the Empire, reunifying what had
broken into three kingdoms and expelling invaders such as the Sarmatians
and Vandals from Roman territory. Diocletian expanded on these actions,
even going so far as to form a quartet of governing individuals, called
the Tetrarchy, which co-administered the Empire with him at the head.
However, the inflation continued, and the Emperor worsened it via a massive increase in military and public works spending.
Making matters worse, years of increasingly poor harvests – poor, in
part, because public policy forced laborers into inefficient activities
such as building a new capital at Nicomedia instead of actually farming –
combined with already extant inflationary pressures from monetary
devaluation to cause widespread unrest, especially within the military.
Remember, given that he owed his power to the goodwill of the soldiers,
it was hardly in the Emperor’s best interests to have them ragged and
hungry.
Citing the influence of “evil traders,” in 301 CE, Diocletian issued his Edict on Maximum Prices, which
instituted widespread price controls on over one thousand different
items, from rice, to bed linens, to the wages to be paid to craftsmen
(for those interested in the full scope of the price controls, and
English translation of the Edict can be found here).
Diocletian preemptively placed the blame for any failures of his policy
on greed, launching into invective against wicked speculators and evil
profiteers who conspired to rob into beggary a helpless public. Of
course, he omitted the cost of increasing the number of provinces from
40 to 105, each requiring additional military and civilian officials.
This alone increased the number of high-salaried public officials
fivefold. Additionally, the base pay for military personal increased
sixfold, newly appointed praetorian prefects and vicarii had to be
accounted for, along with their staffs, palaces befitting the tetrarchs
had to be erected, and the costs of a massive increase in public works
projects budgeted for. All of this was being spent against a currency
which, remember, was being systematically devalued, and to a degree that
the government would not accept their own currency in payment, but
demanded instead goods in trade.
Predictably, the impact of the Edict was
disastrous. The penalty for overcharging was death. The penalty for
“hoarding” goods was also death. With the value of currency declining,
and no way to mitigate this decline due to fixed prices, the only way to
officially sell anything at all was at a loss. As a result, producers
either refused to produce any goods or services, produced just enough to
appear to comply with government policy while selling off-book on the
black market, or simply resorted to barter with other producers.
Shortages became the order of the day, and hungry Romans soon resorted
to violence in a competition to obtain whatever was available. This was
especially prevalent among the soldiers that the Edict
was mostly designed to benefit, as they had little to trade except for
money that no one wanted for goods that scarcely existed.
Soon, in order for some semblance of
market stability to be restored, merchants, farmers and consumers simply
ignored the policy; starving soldiers grateful for the return of food
and clothing were hardly going to arrest the lawbreakers. Some 1200
years before the birth of Thomas Gresham, Diocletian demonstrated that
bad money drives out good, and that attempting to ameliorate bad fiscal
policy – whether prohibitive taxation, currency manipulation, or more
contemporarily relevant, high tariff schemes – with more bad fiscal
policy is never the solution. Whether in ancient Rome, the Soviet Union, or modern Western democracies with mixed economies containing a reasonably high level of free-market principles, price controls never work out to anyone’s benefit."