Fact Check by Julia Jacobs of The NY Times. Excerpt:
"Although
it is unclear what era in United States history Mr. Trump was referring
to, it was most likely the period starting in the late 19th century,
from after the Civil War to before World War I, said Douglas A. Irwin, a
professor of economics at Dartmouth College.
During
this period, the country maintained high taxes on imports that
effectively blocked manufactured goods from foreign countries, Professor
Irwin said. At the same time, the United States had high levels of
economic growth and industrialization.
Some
economists have cited a positive association between United States
protectionism and economic growth during that era. In this high-tariff
period, merchandise imports as a share of the country’s gross national
product fell from 7.9 percent in 1869 to 4.2 percent in 1910, the
historian Alfred E. Eckes Jr. wrote
in his book about United States foreign trade.
The
country emerged from this period with a larger share of world exports,
wrote Mr. Eckes, who served as chairman of the United States
International Trade Commission under President Ronald Reagan.
“In the 19th century,” he added, “Many public and elected officials thought ‘protectionism’ an accolade, not a slur.”
But Professor
Irwin argued that correlation does not necessarily mean causation in
this case. “It’s utterly simplistic,” he said of the argument. “When you
look more deeply into it, it was really other factors driving growth in
that period.”
Those alternative
explanations include the spread of technology like railroads and the
telegraph, as well as a labor force expanding because of an influx of
immigrants.
However, at certain points in history, tariffs did provide for a vast majority of government funding.
Before the War of 1812, tariffs generated about 90 percent of the federal government’s revenue, according to
congressional records. This could lend some validity to Mr. Trump’s statement that the country was “built” on tariffs.
But
that is mostly because the size of the federal government was a
fraction of what it would become in later years, Professor Irwin said.
At that time in early United States history, the nascent government
didn’t need much more than that.
Then,
as expenditures ballooned during the Civil War, President Abraham
Lincoln imposed excise and income taxes to add revenue. In the decades
after the war, tariffs generated less than half of government revenue,
according to congressional records."
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