Saturday, February 21, 2026

Congress should short-circuit the nation’s electric vehicle charging program

By Steve Swedberg of CEI. Excerpt:

"how many EV charging stations has NEVI installed? After all, the NEVI program was enacted in November 2021. The Biden administration was hoping to have 500,000 charging ports installed by 2030. With $5 billion allocated over a five-year period, one would think that NEVI would have established a well-functioning network of EV chargers by now. Here are some estimates as to how many EV chargers have been installed under NEVI:

·      The EV States Clearinghouse, which is co-maintained by the National Association of State Energy Officials and the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, has the estimate at 532 charging ports currently open.

·      An industry analysis reported that EV charging data analytics company Paren puts the estimate at 725 ports.

·      The Government Accountability Office calculated that as of April 2025, there were 384 EV charging ports installed under federal government programs. Notably, this figure includes ports from NEVI and another program called the Charging and Fueling Infrastructure Grant Program.

Regardless of the estimate used, the number of charging ports installed by the federal government is less than 1,000 and accounts for much less than one percent of the 235,428 charging ports available as of January 2026 and the 500,000 charging ports promised by the Biden administration by 2030. More than four years after enactment, and with billions appropriated, this level of deployment suggests more than ordinary implementation lag. Even a backloaded program would show clearer signs of growth by this point. Instead, NEVI’s output indicates structural bottlenecks embedded in its design rather than temporary startup delays.

Paperwork over power

Even before the Trump administration decided to rescind the existing NEVI Formula Program Guidance and suspend state approvals of deployment plans, NEVI was already floundering in red tape. As of February 6, 2025, which was a few days after USDOT Secretary Sean Duffy was sworn into office, $2.7 billion of the $3.3 billion available in NEVI funds were unobligated. In plain terms, most of the money Congress set aside had not been committed to projects.

According to the center-left think tank Third Way, NEVI’s slow progress is not due to lack of need or funding, but to bureaucratic hurdles. Complex requirements and delayed federal guidance left states navigating red tape instead of building charging stations, highlighting inefficiencies in the program’s design.

The Environmental Law Institute further breaks down these hurdles mentioned by Third Way by showing that NEVI’s deployment delays are baked into the program’s structure. States and contractors must navigate local building approvals, utility interconnection studies, and environmental reviews for each proposed site, which often stalls projects for months before a single charger goes live.

In addition, federal “Buy America” requirements add supply-chain constraints that create additional bottlenecks and increases production costs. Industry groups and state Departments of Transportation have warned that “Buy America” requirements could delay federal EV infrastructure projects due to limited domestic suppliers and complex compliance processes. These intertwined requirements illustrate how well-intentioned federal oversight can transform a supposedly fast-moving infrastructure program into a slow-moving bureaucratic behemoth.

Private sector vs. NEVI deployment timelines

An interesting point of comparison is the project timelines between the private sector and NEVI installations. Industry analysis indicates that regulatory and utility interconnection processes alone commonly add a year to 18 months to the timeline for NEVI‑funded charging projects, well before construction begins. Although all 50 states have submitted and received approval for NEVI EV charging deployment plans, the plans do not include uniform benchmarks for how long it takes from award to station operation. Arizona expected it to take a year to install once approved, whereas California provides a range of one to two years.

By contrast, the private sector reports shorter timelines. EV charging financing company Sustainable Capital Finance (SCF) estimates that it can take 3 to 16 months to install an EV charger, whereas EV charging company EVgo puts the figure at 18 months. EV charging stations take time to install, irrespective of red tape. At the same time, these diverging timelines illustrate why the private sector is able to generate tens of thousands of ports in the time that NEVI has installed fewer than 1,000 ports. 

Daren Bakst, director of CEI’s Center for Energy and Environment, has noted this discrepancy reflects a broader principle: states and private actors ultimately determine where and when chargers are built, and government mandates cannot substitute for market-driven deployment. In fact, Bakst highlighted that even with billions allocated to NEVI, no chargers had yet been installed at the time of his analysis in December 2023. This insight reinforces the idea that federal intervention cannot reliably accelerate infrastructure deployment.

Beyond regulatory red tape, NEVI has been hampered by predictable governance failures that exacerbate the timeline issues. For example, a federal court recently ruled that the US Department of Transportation unlawfully froze congressionally appropriated NEVI funds, which forced states to litigate simply to access money already authorized by law. Such administrative paralysis is not an anomaly. It is a predictable outcome when a program centralizes decision-making in federal agencies subject to shifting priorities, complex compliance rules, and political interference.

NEVI spending fails the traveler

Despite a $5 billion commitment made in 2021 to build a nationwide EV charging network, there are fewer than 1,000 operational charging ports. This amount represents a miniscule fraction of the ports already available nationwide, and more importantly, the amount promised by the Biden administration. The Government Accountability Office highlights how NEVI lacks clear performance goals or benchmarks, meaning policymakers cannot even track whether NEVI is meeting its intended outcomes. Combined with bureaucratic hurdles, slow deployment, and small scale of charging ports at this stage, it becomes difficult to argue that NEVI is doing anything of substance to positively contribute to transportation infrastructure.

At the same time, private companies continue to expand the EV charging network across the US and often complete projects in a matter of months instead of years. History has shown that building a nationwide network of fueling infrastructure does not require subsidies. Gas stations achieved this growth organically in the 20th century without subsidies. Those same market forces can drive and already have been driving EV charger deployment."

Tariffs as Fiscal Policy

From Jeffrey Miron.

"President Trump has claimed his tariffs will raise enough revenue to allow for income tax cuts.

Recent research, however, finds that even at optimal tariff rates, these tariffs

would raise an amount less than one-fifth of federal income tax revenue … generat[ing] efficiency losses nearly equal to the revenue raised.

Tariffs are also

regressive … [and] today’s tariffs are particularly high, variable, and uncertain. This raises compliance costs, reduces investment, creates serious tax administration problems, and encourages corruption and wasteful lobbying efforts.

Lastly, while tariffs do reduce imports, they also reduce exports and invite retaliatory tariffs, which in turn harm US manufacturers.

Tariffs are a blunt instrument that—even without the current volatility, but even more with it—cause efficiency losses, increase compliance costs, and harm the industries they allegedly help."

Friday, February 20, 2026

There is no evidence that time spent on social media is correlated with adolescent mental health problems

See The mainstream view by Tyler Cowen.

"Multiple studies have either shown that smartphone and social media use among teens has minimal effects on their mental health or none at all. As a 2024 review published by an American Psychological Association journal put it: “There is no evidence that time spent on social media is correlated with adolescent mental health problems.”

And this:

Advocates of bans compare social media to alcohol or tobacco, where the harms are indisputable and the benefits are minimal. But the internet, including social media, is more analogous to books, magazines or television. I may not want my sons watching “The Texas Chain Saw Massacre” or reading “Fifty Shades of Grey,” but it would be crazy to ban books and films for kids altogether.

But that is the nature of these social media bans. Australia’s law not only restricted access to platforms such as Instagram and TikTok but also banned kids under 16 from having YouTube, X and Reddit accounts. Even Substack had to modify its practices.

Here is more from the excellent Sam Bowman.  And many teens make money through “digital side hustles,” in this day and age that is what a teenage job often means."

Why Economic Freedom Matters

By David R Henderson

"Each year the Economic Freedom of the World report does something important: it measures whether ordinary people are allowed to make economic choices—work, save, start a business, trade, invest, and keep what they earn—without being pushed around by the government. The newest edition, published in 2025 by the Fraser Institute’s global network, compiles data through 2023 and ranks 165 jurisdictions.

The premise is simple. If you want a society in which people can pursue their own plans—especially people who do not have political connections—you need a framework that protects property, enforces contracts, keeps money reasonably sound, permits trade, and limits regulatory barriers. The report’s value is not that it settles every argument, but it does settle a good many. Among those many is the biggest issue in economic policy: free markets versus government. Which kind of economic policies make it easier for people, including the poor, to succeed? In each of the many reports done since 1985, the answer is clear. Economic freedom works well to generate well-being for pretty much everyone. (bold added)

The good news is that economic freedom rose fairly steadily until 2019. The bad news is that it has fallen since then. For the United States, the good news is that we rank fifth out of 165 political jurisdictions. The bad news is that our absolute score is lower than it was in 2019.

These are the opening paragraphs of my latest article for the Hoover Institution: “Why Economic Freedom Matters,” Defining Ideas, February 19, 2026.

The December 2025 report didn’t make as big a splash on the web as I think it should have. That’s why I wrote this piece.

Another excerpt:

The report also points out one tragic fact: “The 10 lowest-ranked countries were Chad, Libya, Syria, Argentina, Myanmar, Iran, Algeria, Sudan, Zimbabwe, and Venezuela.” Venezuela was the lowest, with a score of 3.11, and the highest of the ten was Chad, with a score of 4.84. Where were Cuba and North Korea? There were not enough reliable data available for the authors to assign a score.

And:

Here is the uncomfortable headline: global economic freedom peaked in 2019 and has declined each year for four years afterward. The report ties the post-2019 drop to the policy response to the coronavirus pandemic and notes that all five areas declined after 2019, with “sound money” experiencing the largest drop.

Since 2019, therefore, the direction is clearly down. That matters because many people—especially in rich countries—talk as if freedom is the default setting and only dictatorships threaten it. The data say otherwise: freedom can shrink by “temporary” emergency measures, and the shrinkage can linger. Adam Smith famously said, “There is much ruin in a nation,” but that doesn’t mean that declines in freedom are to be ignored.

And:

Start with income. Comparing the freest quartile of countries to the least free quartile, the report finds that average incomes are 6.2 times as great in the freest countries as in the least free. And the income of people in the bottom 10 percent is 7.8 times as high in the freest quartile as in the least free. Those are ratios. The report also provides concrete dollar levels in purchasing power parity dollars. The average income threshold for the poorest decile is about $9,771 in the freest quartile versus about $1,255 in the least-free quartile. If you care about poverty in a serious way—meaning you care about what poor people can actually buy—those numbers should end a lot of fashionable conversation.

Read the whole thing."

Thursday, February 19, 2026

THE 1950S: A NOT-SO-GOLDEN AGE

By John Cochrane. Excerpts:

"Look at standards of living. Real gross domestic product per capita, which is also national income per capita, sat below $19,000 in 1955. In 2025 it approached $69,500. These figures are expressed in 2017 dollars, thus accounting for inflation. The average American is about 3.7 times better off today than in 1955. It’s not even close.

Yes, GDP grew faster in the 1950s. Real GDP per capita grew 28 percent from 1949 to 1959, and only 18.3 percent from 2009 to 2019. Slowing growth is a major economic problem today. Be that as it may, we eat levels, not growth rates. We might not be getting even better off as fast as we were then, but we’re still 3.7 times better off.

How about jobs? In August 2025, 163 million people were employed in the United States; in August 1955, 63 million. America created 100 million jobs over those seven decades. This growth occurred even as manufacturing employment shrank and machines took over. People found better—and better-paying—jobs, most in services. Has any evangelist for union jobs of the 1950s considered how dirty, dangerous, and mind-numbing it was to work on an assembly line? Isn't being a desk drone, a nurse, a bank employee, or any of a hundred mid-level service jobs a lot nicer in addition to better paid? In 2025 the unemployment rate, the fraction of workers looking for a job, stood at 4 percent, just about what it was in the 1950s and what economists think of as a normal labor market.

The great 1950s union labor market was great only if you were a straight white man, and usually one with connections. “We don’t want nobody nobody sent” was the great saying of Chicago Machine job allocation. Women, African Americans, other minorities, and immigrants faced bleak prospects. One of the great achievements of the U.S. economy since the 1950s has been to expand the labor force as well as opportunities for high-paying jobs to all sorts of people who were excluded then. Civil rights, the emancipation of women, and the increasing acceptance of gays, foreigners, Catholics, and Jews (not so true in the 1950s)—these are nothing to sneeze at. The unions made good jobs for white men, relative to other jobs at the time, in part by excluding others.

What about those easy-to-buy houses? The average house in the 1950s was about 1,000 square feet. The famous Levittown houses were 750 square feet. One bathroom. Today, the average house is about 2,500 square feet, even though the average number of people in it declined from 3.4 in 1950 to 2.5 in 2024. People are choosing larger and better homes.

To men of my age, 1950s cars evoke nostalgia. But they were awful, unsafe rust buckets compared to today’s boring SUVs.

What about those easy to buy houses? The average house size in the 1950s was about 1,000 square feet. The famous Levittown houses were 750 square feet. Today is it about 2,500 square feet, even though the average number of people in it has declined from 3.3 to 2.5. And modern houses are much better. People are choosing larger and more expensive homes. 1950s cars, to men of my age, evoke nostalgia. But they were awful unsafe rust buckets compared to today’s boring SUVs.

THE MYTH OF AN EGALITARIAN UTOPIA

GDP isn’t everything, though it is a lot. Was health care cheaper in the 1950s? Yes, though for many diseases, including heart conditions and cancer, treatment then consisted of asking whether you wished to see a priest, a minister, or a rabbi to send you off to the next world. Life expectancy at birth has increased by a full decade, rising from 65.6 to 75.8 for men and from 71.1 to 81.1 for women.

Pollution in the 1950s was atrocious, especially in those industrial areas so beloved by nostalgic left-wing professors. (I grew up on the south side of Chicago. I remember coal dust that accumulated on anything outside.) The fraction of people living in extreme poverty has plummeted, even as the goalpost keeps moving. And we all benefit from nearly free technological marvels undreamed of in the 1950s. Most homeless people have cell phones.

Our prosperity is, in fact, widely shared, though the inequality warriors would have you believe otherwise. Most research on income inequality doesn’t account for taxes and transfers, especially in-kind transfers. Consumption inequality is much lower than income or wealth inequality, and has expanded a good deal less. You just can’t have that many vacation homes. Wealth inequality largely consists of high stock market values in a low-interest-rate environment. Just how much social harm is Elon Musk’s huge holding of Tesla stock doing, remaining invested in the company, and producing cars and rockets?

Some observers regard the 1950s as a sort of egalitarian utopia because the rich faced high statutory tax rates. Yes, the highest federal income tax rate stood at 91 percent for most of the decade. But people confronted with sky-high tax rates go talk to their lawyers fast. Even the far-left economists Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman found that the top 1 percent of American households paid on average 42 percent of their income in taxes in the 1950s. Six decades later, at a time of supposedly stark inequality, that number had fallen only slightly, to 37 percent.

These figures account for all forms of taxes. In the 1950s, the top 1 percent paid, on average, an effective rate of just 16.9 percent in federal income taxes, as the Tax Foundation documents. How could they pay so little when the top federal tax rate reached 91 percent? The answer is: loopholes—many, many loopholes. Celebrities incorporated themselves and bought oil wells for the write-offs."

Minimum Wages and Racial Disparities

Job losses and earnings reductions from minimum wage increases between 2005 and 2019 were much more prevalent for black workers, especially black men, and were minimal for white workers.

By David Neumark and Jyotsana Kala. Excerpt:

"Our research uses data from the American Community Survey between 2005 and 2019 to examine the effects of minimum wage increases on black workers and their relative impact compared with that of white workers. We studied not only teenagers—the focus of much existing research—but also other lower-skilled groups, including workers under the age of 30 and those without a high school degree.

Our findings indicate that job losses from minimum wage increases were much more prevalent for black workers, especially black men, and were minimal for white workers. For example, among black male workers under the age of 30 without a high school degree, a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage reduced employment by 4.1 percent on average. In contrast, our research finds no evidence of reduced employment for white workers with the same characteristics, even though the wages of both black and white workers increased by a similar degree.

Considering the wage and employment effects together, we found that higher minimum wages have decreased earnings for lower-skilled black workers. For example, within the same group of black male workers, a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage led to a 4.8 percent average reduction in earnings. In contrast, we found no evidence of reduced earnings for white workers with the same characteristics. In fact, for several of the lower-skilled groups we studied, minimum wage increases tended to increase earnings for white workers.

Because there is substantial residential segregation by race in the United States, the concentration of the minimum wages’ adverse effects on black workers implies that their adverse effects are also concentrated in heavily black neighborhoods. Indeed, our research finds that the adverse effects of minimum wage increases fell disproportionately on people of all races living in areas with a high black population share, worsening the adverse effects of minimum wages on black workers living in these areas relative to workers living elsewhere. In some cases, the accumulation of adverse effects for black workers and black neighborhoods implies that large differences in minimum wages could account for roughly 40 percent of the gap in employment rates for lower-skilled workers between areas with high and low black population shares."

Wednesday, February 18, 2026

The US tax system has become much more progressive

Tweet from Stefan Schubert.

"The US tax system has become much more progressive (notice the X-axis). The richest pay half their income in tax, the poorest nothing."

  

The age-standardized cancer mortality rate in the US has fallen by almost 40% since 1990

Tweet by Jeremy Horpedahl.

"The age-standardized cancer mortality rate in the US has fallen by almost 40% since 1990. Technological progress and economic growth is not just new entertainment gadgets that fit in our pockets!"

  

19 years ago the Guardian said we have "ten years to save the planet from mankind"

A tweet from James Melville. Click here to see the original article.

 

What’s Across the Border? Re-Evaluating the Cross-Border Evidence on Minimum Wage Effects

By Priyaranjan Jha, David Neumark & Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

"Dube, Lester, and Reich (2010) argue that state-level minimum wage variation correlated with economic shocks generates spurious evidence that higher minimum wages reduce employment. Using minimum wage variation within contiguous county pairs sharing a state border, they find no relationship between minimum wages and employment in the U.S. restaurant industry. Using the same research design, we show that this result is overturned if we use instead multi-state commuting zones, which provide superior definitions of local economic areas. These contrasting results are explained by a positive bias in the county-pair specification when using pairs formed by counties from different commuting zones." 

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

The Trouble With MedPAC

A federal advisory board tries to undermine Medicare Advantage.

WSJ editorial. Excerpts:

"MedPAC last month estimated the government will spend $76 billion more this year for seniors on Medicare Advantage than if the same seniors were covered by traditional Medicare fee-for-service. It estimated excess payments to Medicare Advantage plans at $84 billion in 2025 and $88 billion in 2024. That’s a lot of money, but its estimates are based on faulty assumptions."

"MedPAC claims that seniors in Medicare Advantage are healthier than those in fee-for-service because they incur less spending. Ergo, insurers must be coding them as being sicker than they are. Maybe, but that’s hard to square with the fact that Medicare Advantage enrollees are also more likely to be low-income and have poor self-reported health status.

A more likely explanation is that plans do a better job of ensuring conditions are diagnosed and treated, thereby reducing unnecessary spending and hospitalizations. In a new study published in Health Affairs Scholar, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services officials found excess risk-adjusted payments on the magnitude of 1.5% to 2%, about $5 billion to $6.6 billion a year—far less than MedPAC’s estimates."

Texas’ Self-Defeating H-1B Pause

The MD Anderson Cancer Center is one of the institutions that will feel the pain

By Collin Levy of The WSJ. Excerpts:

"the claim that work visas take jobs from American citizens doesn’t hold up. The Texas unemployment rate was 4.3% as of December, and in Austin—where high-tech jobs cluster—it was just over 3%. Foreign workers in the U.S. typically fill gaps in the labor market that aren’t met by American citizens. A 2020 study by the National Foundation for American Policy found that an increase in H-1B visas within a profession was associated with a decrease in the unemployment rate in the profession."

"Mr. Abbott’s visa ban directs the heads of state agencies and public universities to inform the Texas Workforce Commission how many H-1B petitions they submitted in 2025—as well as “documentation” that Texas candidates had a “reasonable opportunity to apply for each position.” It also asks for the “countries of origin of all H-1B visa holders the entity currently sponsors.” When I asked the governor’s office why it is asking for countries of origin and if there are particular countries of concern, I was directed back to his press release and letter, which don’t address the questions." 

DEI Is a Threat to Americans’ Health

By Stanley Goldfarb. Excerpts:

"They changed [medical schools] their curricula to teach economic and social lessons that ladder up to the false claim that America is systemically racist. The LCME [Liaison Committee on Medical Education] has tacitly approved this shift by issuing vague standards that give medical schools far too much leeway. The resulting lack of rigor allows unprepared students to slide through undemanding courses while undercutting the preparation needed to become excellent doctors."

"The traditional two years of pre-clinical education required to become a doctor has been significantly reduced at more than a third of medical schools. This gives short shrift to the foundational curriculum in genetics, biochemistry, biostatistics and epidemiology."

"At 80% of M.D.-granting schools, the foundational courses in basic science and clinical skills are now graded pass/fail"

"The first part of the national licensure exam that determined residency placement has also been changed to pass/fail"

"a growing number of medical students lack a strong grasp of basic medical knowledge."

"At UCLA’s David Geffen School of Medicine . . . more than 50% of students failed basic tests on family medicine, pediatrics and emergency medicine. Nationwide, the percentage of medical students who pass the first part of the licensure exam has fallen every year since 2020, dropping from 97% to 89%"

"Even liberal medical journals have begun to question the state of medical education. A 2025 New England Journal of Medicine article on the use of pass/fail in medical school asked, “Is ‘Good Enough’ Good Enough?”" 

Monday, February 16, 2026

Two Confusions About the California Wealth Tax

Unrealized capital gains aren’t classified as taxable income in the U.S. for good reason

Letter to The WSJ

"At least two confusions discredit Mayra Castañeda’s attempted defense of California’s proposed wealth tax in her letter “Billionaire Tax Would Save Calif. Healthcare” (Feb. 4). She claims that “billionaires pay less in taxes on their overall wealth than working families do.” She gets away with this because the research that she cites, although it postures as measuring the taxation of incomes, in fact measures the taxation of paper wealth by classifying unrealized capital gains as taxable income.

But unrealized capital gains aren’t classified as taxable income in the U.S. for good reason. Were these gains treated as such, taxpayers—including many middle-class families—would have to liquidate assets whenever tax season rolled around to pay their bills. One result, in addition to this annual hardship, would be a shrinkage of America’s capital stock which, in turn, would slow wage growth as workers, having less capital to work with, would be less productive than otherwise.

Ms. Castañeda also ignores the most prominent argument against the proposed tax—namely, that it will drive billionaires, along with their taxable incomes and wealth, to states that are less greedy to seize the fruits of high-earners’ efforts. This exodus of billionaires would occur even if, contrary to fact, counting unrealized capital gains as taxable income were a sound idea.

Prof. Donald J. Boudreaux

Mercatus Center

George Mason University

Declining labor share is sometimes attributed to businesses underpaying workers. In fact, it is more due to a shift in the sorts of businesses that dominate the economy.

See The Big Money in Today’s Economy Is Going to Capital, Not Labor by Greg Ip. Excerpts:

"Declining labor share is sometimes attributed to businesses underpaying workers. In fact, it is more due to a shift in the sorts of businesses that dominate the economy. Today’s fastest-growing “superstar” companies pay well, but don’t have many workers. In the past three years Google parent Alphabet’s revenue has grown 43%, while head count has remained flat. Amazon is a major employer because of its fulfillment centers, but even it is eliminating jobs.

In such companies, the line between capital and labor blurs. Employees who design the technology are a form of human capital, and are compensated in stock to reflect that. Some corporate acquisitions dubbed “acquihires” are aimed primarily at talent, such as when Meta Platforms paid $14 billion for a stake in Scale AI to nab founder Alexandr Wang."

"Households’ stock wealth is now equal to almost 300% of their annual disposable income, compared with 200% in 2019. At such levels, wealth starts to rival wages as the driver of consumption, at least for the affluent households who own most stocks.

Doug Peta, a strategist with BCA Research, estimates that a 10% stock return, including dividends, taxed at the highest marginal rate, boosts spending capacity as much as an 18% rise in income. No wonder tepid job and income growth aren’t holding back the economy."

Trump’s Climate Liberation Act

Removing Obama’s ‘endangerment’ finding makes it harder to ban fossil-fuel energy

WSJ editorial. Excerpts:

"in 2007 a 5-4 majority of the Supreme Court ruled in Massachusetts v. EPA that greenhouse gases qualify as pollutants under the Clean Air Act."

"greenhouse gases aren’t toxic and don’t affect air quality, unlike pollutants that the law expressly directs the EPA to regulate."

"The impact of greenhouse gases on global temperatures is intermediated by such factors as cloud cover and urbanization, and the effect on storms is disputed. In any event, curbing CO2 emissions in the U.S. will have scant impact on climate because emissions are rapidly rising in China, India and developing countries."

"The Great Scalia observed in dissent that “regulating the buildup of CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the upper reaches of the atmosphere . . . is not akin to regulating the concentration of some substance that is polluting the air.”"

"the endangerment finding also violates the Supreme Court’s major questions doctrine."

"express authorization from Congress is required for economically and politically significant executive actions. A 6-3 majority invoked the doctrine in West Virginia v. EPA (2022), which struck down the Obama-era CO2 emissions limits for power plants."

Sunday, February 15, 2026

Why Unemployment is Rising Among Young College Grads

Their skills, experience and ability to function are increasingly out of step with employers’ needs

By Allysia Finley. Excerpts:

"last . . . unemployment among college grads age 22 to 27 rose to 5.6% in December, roughly what it was in February 2009 during the financial panic." 

"Artificial intelligence isn’t taking their jobs. Young grads’ struggles started before AI went mainstream. Between 1990 and 2014, unemployment for young college grads was generally 1 to 3 percentage points lower than for all workers. The gap started to tighten around 2014 and reversed in late 2018. Unemployment for young college grads is now about 1.4 points higher than for all workers."

"Government subsidies and public schools have funneled too many young people to credential mills, which churn out grads who lack the skills that employers demand."

"More than half of high-school grads matriculate to college, even though only 35% of 12th graders score proficient in reading and 22% in math on the National Assessment of Educational Progress."

"U.S. colleges awarded 2.2 million bachelor’s degrees last year, about twice as many as in 1990. That’s also double the number of associate’s degrees. Another 860,000 Americans last year received a master’s degree, nearly triple the 1990 figure. Nearly 40% of Americans with a bachelor’s now have an advanced degree."

"Colleges have added graduate programs in fields like urban planning, sustainability and fine arts to rake in more federal dollars."

"market that is saturated with heavily credentialed workers."

"Many skated through college by relying on AI to do their work."

"Some also struggle with executive functioning because of disability accommodations in high school and college that allowed them extra time to complete tests and assignments. More than 20% of undergrads at Harvard and Brown and 38% at Stanford have registered disabilities."

"31% of small-business owners had job openings they couldn’t fill, compared with a historical average of 24%." 

The problems with government mandated healthcare technology

See ‘A Giant Leap’ Review: Disruption for Doctors: Digital innovation in healthcare has proceeded in fits and starts. Will generative artificial intelligence solve more problems than it creates? by David A. Shaywitz. He is a lecturer at Harvard Medical School.

He reviewed the book A Giant Leap: How AI Is Transforming Healthcare and What That Means for Our Future by Robert Wachter. Excerpts:

"Health-policy wonks in the Obama administration tucked $30 billion into the 2009 stimulus package to accelerate EHR adoption, a move that had unanticipated consequences. The problem, Dr. Wachter points out, was that EHRs provide a mechanism for “hospital administrators, regulators, and payors” to “shape what the doctor did in real time,” generating ever more tasks requiring ever more documentation.

The introduction of patient-communication portals added another burden, creating a torrent of messages with “no workforce, workflow, or business model to sustain it,” and forcing doctors to work increasingly late hours. Healthcare systems responded by hiring more administrative staff to manage the paperwork, and more nurse practitioners to take on clinical tasks."

"He offers a useful outline of digital transformation: digitization, integration, analysis and finally acting on insights to change behavior. He argues that healthcare remains maddeningly stuck at Step 2, as practitioners struggle to connect siloed information. Such work can be “brutally difficult,” he writes, because “trying to get data from health systems or insurers often feels like dragging an anchor through the sand.”" 

How a $30 Billion Welfare Program Became a ‘Slush Fund’ for States

Republicans and Democrats alike decry the lack of oversight for America’s famous antipoverty experiment. ‘Fraud by design.’

By Cameron McWhirter, Dan Frosch and Scott Calvert of The WSJ. Excerpts:

"Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, or TANF, has long been plagued by poor financial oversight and questionable spending in states led by both Republicans and Democrats.

"Auditors in numerous states . . . . have uncovered problems with TANF"

"TANF funds flow annually through block grants to states, which have wide latitude to spend them and minimal reporting requirements—a structure critics say hampers oversight."

"States now award most of the money to nonprofits, companies and their own state agencies. An average of about 849,000 families got direct cash aid each month in fiscal 2025, federal data shows, down from about 1.9 million in fiscal 2010."

"states inaccurately reporting large expenditures and disbursing millions of dollars to contractors without tracking how the cash was spent."

"states  . . . have directed hundreds of millions of dollars to programs with tenuous—or no—connections to TANF’s goals."

"college scholarships that benefited middle- or upper-income families, antiabortion centers, a volleyball stadium in Mississippi, and an Ohio job-training nonprofit where leaders and employees were later sentenced to prison after prosecutors said they used TANF money for vacations, real estate and salaries for people who didn’t work there."

"the GAO identified 37 states where recent audits found 162 deficiencies in financial oversight, “56 of which were severe.”"

"“opaque accounting practices”"

"States often use TANF money as a “slush fund” to plug budget shortfalls and finance initiatives that don’t help poor people"

"The most prominent scandal involving TANF funds, at least $77 million, took place several years ago in Mississippi."

"officials have often failed to track where the money goes or whether it is spent properly."

"Louisiana . . . state employees didn’t verify or document the hours worked by some TANF enrollees"

"hadn’t accurately documented TANF distributions to contractors."

"In Connecticut, auditors said the state in 2024 didn’t sufficiently review the financial reports of 131 subcontractors who received $53.6 million in TANF funds"

"states don’t have to spend all their TANF money in a single year, and many have built up large surpluses. In times of fiscal pressure, such as the 2007-09 recession, many states used TANF funds for purposes that had little to do with the program’s original goals"

"Several states have also used TANF money for programs available to people well above the poverty threshold.

Between 2011 and 2024, Michigan faced criticism for pumping more than $750 million in TANF funds into two college scholarship programs that aided many students from middle-income and even affluent families" 

Stop Worrying, and Learn to Love Industrial Food

See We Shouldn’t Want to Eat Like Our Great-Great-Grandparents by Dr. Dutkiewicz and Dr. Rosenberg are the authors of the forthcoming book “Feed the People: Why Industrial Food Is Good and How to Make It Even Better.” From The NY Times. Excerpts:

"But before you hurl that bagel into the trash, consider that it represents much that is good about our food system: It is affordable, convenient and nutritious. Virtually all the food we eat, junk and vegetables alike, is part of an industrial system. Acknowledging that fact and embracing the system’s scale, reliability, safety standards and abundance is a far better path to improving it than chasing a fantasy of Edenic premodern food that never existed.

Your morning bagel is, in fact, a small miracle made possible by conventional, mass-produced and enriched ingredients, like flour and salt. At the turn of the 20th century, when our great-great-grandparents had no choice but to eat “real food,” malnutrition was rampant. Anemia was common, as was iodine deficiency, which could cause a disfiguring swelling of the thyroid gland known as a goiter; in one Michigan county on the eve of World War I, nearly a third of potential Army recruits were rejected because of such thyroid problems. Enrichment — such as the addition of iron to wheat flour and iodine to salt — and easier access to grain and fresh produce, made possible by productive industrial farming, reduced anemia and virtually banished not only goiters but also illnesses like rickets, scurvy and pellagra.

Perhaps you want a slice of tomato on that bagel? If it’s January on the East Coast, it won’t be local. Your tomato will come from Florida or, more likely, Mexico, where it will have been grown on high-yield farms using conventional fertilizers and pesticides. Want it organic? It will still take industrial supply chains to get it to you. Shunning those globe-spanning supply chains in favor of sparse and often more expensive local and seasonal alternatives is likely to result in everyone eating less produce.

Adding fruit will make your breakfast even healthier. Here, too, modern food technology can help. Half a century of worry about the safety of genetically modified organisms, or G.M.O.s, often derided as “frankenfoods,” has not yielded a shred of compelling evidence that they endanger human health. The genetically modified Rainbow papaya, which is resistant to the ringspot virus, saved Hawaii’s papaya crop. Arctic apples from Washington State, genetically modified to brown more slowly, reduce food waste."

"the idea that ultraprocessed foods are categorically unhealthy is an oversimplification." 

"many ultraprocessed foods, such as yogurt, whole-grain bread or ready-to-eat plant-based burgers, are not linked to worse health outcomes and may even be beneficial."

"dumping industrial food from your plate would do little to change things for the better and, in some cases, would actually make it worse. Food that is local, organic and low-tech is vastly more expensive than food grown through conventional methods. There is little evidence that it is healthier. And when it comes to environmental impact, it matters much more what is produced than how it is produced; tofu is going to have a smaller ecological footprint than beef. That holds true even if the tofu comes from soybeans grown on giant farms using pesticides, and the beef is grass-fed and organic."

"There are plenty of premade options you can grab that are just as nutritious as the fresh-cooked version, like Starbucks egg white bites, Trader Joe’s palak paneer or frozen microwavable vegetables." 

Saturday, February 14, 2026

The immigration crackdown shows that immigrants were not taking jobs from Americans (or the tariffs caused the job growth slow down)

See More on Jobs Growing More Slowly in 2025 than in 2017 by Don Boudreaux. From a letter:

"You “laughed out loud” at Phil Gramm’s and my suggestion that Trump’s second-term tariffs helped cause jobs to grow at a much slower pace in 2025 – the first year of his second term, one filled with tariff hikes – than in 2017, the first year of his first term, before tariffs were raised. You credit your amusement to the fact that “the President is aggressive at deporting illegal immigrants which steal American jobs.” The slower job growth in 2025, you insist, “only happened because of the immigration crackdown.”

LOL!

If the jobs once held by deported immigrants were indeed ‘stolen’ from Americans, then the removal of immigrants from those jobs would have caused Americans to fill those same jobs, resulting in no slowdown in employment growth. But there has in fact been a huge slowdown in employment growth, which means – if you’re correct that this slowdown in employment growth was caused by the mass deportation of immigrants – that immigrants were not ‘stealing’ jobs from Americans."

Who Pays for Trump’s Tariffs? Americans Do

It’s U.S. companies and consumers, not foreigners, that bear most of the economic burden.

Letter to The WSJ

"Peter Navarro’s “Foreign Countries Bear the Burden of Tariffs” (Letters, Feb. 11) on foreigners indirectly paying U.S. tariffs is correct in theory yet detached from reality.

If the U.S. actually had the market power he describes, foreign exporters would in many cases lower their prices to keep selling their goods here, thus offsetting the tariffs’ domestic costs. In practice, however, the U.S. hasn’t been hegemonic in global markets for many years, thanks to the proliferation of regional supply chains and growing economies outside our borders.

Given the relatively low and declining U.S. share of global merchandise trade, economists predicted in 2024 that producers abroad would respond to U.S. tariffs not by lowering their prices here but by diverting trade elsewhere and forcing Americans to bear the tariffs’ costs. This is exactly what’s happened. China, for example, saw its U.S. exports decline in 2025 yet had strong overall export growth and a record trade surplus thanks to higher sales in other markets.

U.S. nonfuel import prices, which include discounts and rebates but exclude tariffs, would show major declines if exporters were eating Mr. Trump’s tariffs, but they were slightly up in 2025.

Many studies—not only from Harvard and the Kiel Institute, which Mr. Navarro blithely dismisses, but also the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, the Tax Foundation, economists Gita Gopinath and Brent Neiman, and Goldman-Sachs, among others—have examined real-world transactions and found that U.S. companies and consumers are bearing almost all the tariff burden via higher retail prices or input costs. There are exceptions, but the data confirm they’re not the rule.

Mr. Navarro needn’t, however, read wonky economics papers to see that Americans are paying Mr. Trump’s tariffs (and the higher prices for U.S.-made alternatives that tariffs encourage). Instead, he could ask the thousands of American business owners and farmers who say they’re suffering under the weight of Mr. Trump’s ill-conceived trade wars. They have voiced these concerns in shareholder earnings calls, media interviews, court challenges, bankruptcy filings, regulatory comments and town hall meetings. Hundreds of small-business owners from across the country have even formed a coalition called “We Pay the Tariffs.” These good folks would jump at the chance to go to the White House and tell Mr. Navarro who, exactly, is paying these taxes—if, that is, they had enough lobbying clout to get through the front door.

Scott Lincicome

VP of general economics and trade Cato Institute

No, We Shouldn’t Ban AI Chatbots

By Jennifer Huddleston and Christopher Gardner of Cato

"Banning chatbots would not be simple. Defining artificial intelligence (AI) is difficult, and limiting it to chatbots does not solve the problem. Even in a lighthearted debate, we had to account for the many uses of AI that are often overlooked, such as customer service and specific professional tools. In legislation, this is even more difficult, as laws lock in static definitions that could prevent both beneficial existing applications and innovative future uses of a technology.

Concerns about chatbots are often tied to their use by vulnerable kids and teens, concerns about particular types of content, like when Grok generated non-consensual sexual imagery or content linked to suicide or mental health. But attempts to limit the technology only to “beneficial” chatbots or those with more specific applications may eliminate innovative uses of general-purpose chatbots or stifle future advancements we aren’t yet aware of. 

For example, an educational purpose exception might be able to cover Khan Academy’s personal tutor, but it doesn’t take into account how a student, teacher, or parent might use a general-purpose chatbot for a similar purpose. Or worse, limit our creativity in how these tools could be used to solve problems by deeming them acceptable in only a narrow set of use cases."

"there are also positive examples of individuals who have used chatbots as a form of connection when they might not otherwise have been ready to seek help from a human or were unable to access resources. Just as some individuals have had an extremely negative experience with chatbots, others have found them beneficial in ways previously thought impossible."

"For many, chatbots offer a lifeline for those without strong support systems or access to professional help. They are available at all hours of the day, react without judgment, and represent a promising source of social support. Yet the impact of chatbots can go much further than just basic social support. For at least 30 people, GPT‑3 and GPT‑4 enabled chatbot Replika “stopped them from attempting suicide.”"

"ChatGPT’s multimodal capabilities can also help those with visual impairments by instantaneously describing their environment and answering questions."

"Chatbots, by contrast, are available on demand at any time of day. They can be accessed by one’s phone in almost any environment. And they are relatively cheap."

"A variety of solutions exist that are far less restrictive than banning chatbots more generally.

First, we are seeing the industry respond with various solutions that allow responses to common concerns. Both Meta and OpenAI have announced various parental controls on their general AI chatbot products. Other industry efforts include using red-teaming type AI models to determine potential risks and identify ways to improve models to prevent the likelihood of toxic or problematic responses. Additionally, civil society groups like Common Sense and the Family Online Safety Initiative provide resources for parents or other users who want to understand the risk of exposure to certain content. Much like the internet before it, these market-based responses can help resolve problems in ways that fit both different technologies and individual needs without governments dictating what approach or specific controls are best.

If the government were to set policy, there are many steps that would be less restrictive than a total ban on a particular technology or application. Many of these would raise their own speech concerns, such as banning certain lawful, if distasteful, content. In many cases, the content in question, like non-consensual intimate imagery, is likely already covered by existing law, or those laws could be updated to ensure it is. While Jennifer has discussed concerns about mandatory AI disclosures, particularly when they are applied more generally, requiring a chatbot to disclose that it is a chatbot is certainly less restrictive than banning the technology entirely." 

Friday, February 13, 2026

The Price of the Lockdown

How the COVID era fettered science and liberty.

By K. Lloyd Billingsley of The Independent Institute

"“The COVID era, to me, represented a fundamental break in my understanding of how science and public health operated.” That was Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, director of the National Institutes of Health, in a recent interview with Ross Douthat of the New York Times. With memories of that same era, the people have good reason to hear him out. 

“I thought public health had the best interest of the working class, the poor, in mind,” the NIH director explained. “And the COVID era shattered my illusions on all of those fronts. In particular, what happened in March of 2020 represented a fundamental break that public health authorities had with the public.” In the face of deep uncertainty, “something had to be done to guide people,” but the effort went wrong. 

“What you’re not allowed to do is assume that the thing you’re doing is going to work,” the NIH director explained. “You’re also not allowed to assume that the thing that you’re doing will have no harms. So you close the schools. You know for certain that you’re going to harm a generation of children. That’s a certainty.” 

Dr. Bhattacharya saw the need for “honest calculations” and “you could see the relative risk really easily in the data. It was really older people that were at high risk of dying from the disease. So that key epidemiological fact was known, I’d say, by January 2020.” The infection fatality rate on average for the whole population was “much lower than we thought.” Dr. Bhattacharya assumed that would change the approach but “instead, I faced, essentially, attacks on my character, an attempt to destroy my career, questions about the integrity of my work that were completely spurious.”

Targeting the Dissenters

In an email to Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), former NIH director Francis Collins called Dr. Bhattacharya a “fringe epidemiologist”. It tasked Fauci to attack the Great Barrington Declaration. Bhattacharya co-authored that declaration with other medical scientists, most, if not all, more qualified epidemiologists than Fauci and Collins. 

Dr. Bhattacharya called for “a scientific debate and discussion,” but instead, “the ethos of public health was that just having the debate at all was a dangerous thing.” And that was bad news for the people. 

“If all of the basic promises that we have about our civil liberties are premised on there not being uncertainty over the spread of an infectious disease,” the NIH director said, “then you just don’t have a free country.” That is Dr. Bhattacharya’s description of white coat supremacy, rule by medical bureaucrats who never face the voters and are seldom, if ever, held accountable. In the current era, the politician most dedicated to rigid bureaucratic rule is California Gov. Gavin Newsom. 

In 2020, Gov. Newsom imposed the most draconian COVID-19 regime, with shelter-at-home orders, school lockdowns, and rigid rules for family gatherings. “Don’t forget to keep your mask on in between bites,” said the governor, who partied sans mask with lobbyists at the upscale French Laundry.  

In a June 2020 appearance with Dr. Anthony Fauci, Gov. Newsom said, “If you can’t practice physical distancing, are you practicing love?” During the COVID era, by all appearances, Gov. Newsom never contacted Dr. Bhattacharya, then a professor of medicine at Stanford University, and never endorsed the Great Barrington Declaration. In the current era, the governor’s stance has not changed. 

In 2025, California’s Department of Public Health maintained that infants and toddlers werehigher-riskindividuals and called for the same vaccine requirements, with no attention to possible side effects. Gov. Newsom set out to, in effect, create a new Centers for Disease Control in an alliance of western states. 

The governor hired public health officials who had been dismissed from the CDC, allegedly “politicized” in the Trump administration. After the administration cut loose from the World Health Organization, Gov. Newsom did his best to keep California attached to the globalist bureaucracy. 

The NIH

Dr. Fauci, a big fan of the WHO, maintained that the COVID-19 virus arose naturally in the wild, a matter of speculation, not science. Others saw the source as a lab leak, and as Dr. Bhattacharya told Ross Douthat, “If you just focus on the scientific evidence alone, I would say it’s certain.” The NIH director will double down on replication, “essentially democratization of who gets to decide what’s true and false in science,” and as such, “a second scientific revolution.”

Dr. Bhattacharya has eliminated a huge conflict of interest by removing Christine Grady, Dr. Fauci’s wife, from her post as chief bioethicist of the NIH Clinical Center. The NIH also cut loose Jeanne Marrazzo, Dr. Fauci’s successor at NIAID. 

On his last day in office, Joe Biden pardoned Anthony Fauci without indicating any crime he had committed. As Dr. Bhattacharya sees it, if our civil liberties depend on unelected bureaucrats who shun debate, force draconian polices on the people, and disregard possible harm, “then you don’t have a free country.” That’s something to remember moving forward."

Immigration Restrictions Cause Enforcement Excesses

By Jeffrey Miron.

"Recent ICE operations in Minnesota, marked by large-scale raids and civilian harm, are less a local controversy than a predictable product of U.S. immigration institutions. When lawful entry is heavily restricted, enforcement becomes the policy margin. That margin is exercised by armed agents with wide discretion, weak accountability or legal recourse, and strong incentives to demonstrate “control” rather than minimize error. Minnesota is an illustration of how restriction necessarily operationalizes coercion.

Ilya Somin has long argued that immigration restrictions are best understood as limits on individual liberty, with unusually poor cost-benefit justification. Movement across borders, just like movement within them, generates large economic gains and modest, manageable externalities. When the presumption flips, and entry requires permission rather than being the default, the state substitutes centralized coercion for decentralized choice. This manifests downstream in enforcement practices that must be visible, forceful, and discretionary in order to sustain the restriction itself.

This dynamic complicates debates over “better” or “smarter” enforcement. Any restriction regime requires taking a stand on how much coercion is acceptable and how much harm to civilians is an unavoidable cost rather than a failure of execution. Whether enforcement is aggressive or restrained, it operates under incentives that prioritize demonstration over precision. The result is not a binary choice between humane and inhumane enforcement, but a continuum in which civilian injury costs are present to varying degrees regardless of approach.

The Minnesota raids underscore a broader point that often goes unaddressed: immigration restriction is not merely a policy choice followed by enforcement, but an enforcement regime in itself. So long as entry is treated as an exception rather than a baseline liberty, coercion becomes structural rather than accidental. In that context, tragedies like Minnesota’s are not policy failures in need of better messaging or marginal reform; they are foreseeable outcomes of a system that relies on discretionary force to sustain its underlying premise."

Thursday, February 12, 2026

The economics of mass deportation

From Marginal Revolution

"Following the removal of 50% of unauthorized immigrants, in the short run average native real wages rise 0.15% nationally, driven by an increase in the capital-labor ratio. In the long run, however, native real wages fall in every state, and by 0.33% nationally, as capital gets decumulated in response to a lower population. Consumer prices in the sectors intensive in unauthorized workers – such as Farming – rise by about 1% relative to the price of the average consumption basket, while most other sectors experience negligible relative price changes.

That research result is from Javier Cravino, Andrei A. Levchenko, Francesc Ortega & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar."

 

What Zimbabwe Can Learn From Chile: A Tale of Two Data Series

By Paul McDonnold of AIER. Excerpts:

"In 1996, the Economic Freedom of the World (EFW) Index debuted. The model aggregated dozens of variables into a single figure for each nation, between 0 (the least economic freedom) and 10 (the most economic freedom)."

"In 1970, for instance, Chile’s EFW Index was in the bottom quartile globally at 4.69. This was the year socialist Salvador Allende won the presidency with only 36 percent of the popular vote (no candidate having won a majority, the legislature chose him). A slew of socialist reforms followed. Banks were nationalized, price controls were instituted and money printed like there was no tomorrow. Predictably, private investment plummeted and inflation spiked as the nation plunged into a recession.

A military coup overthrew Allende in 1973, with an alleged but uncertain level of help from the Nixon Administration and in particular Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. The new Chilean leader, Augusto Pinochet, was no socialist. But he did wield power like one—through brutal repression. And while his advisors included free-market economists such as Hernán Büchi, the regime’s policies were at best a burlesque of economic freedom.

Consequently, in 1975 Chile’s EFW Index reached an all-time low of 3.82. But after Pinochet was defeated in a 1988 plebiscite, the nation began to liberalize its society and its economy. In 1990, it moved into the top quartile of EFW rankings for the first time, with a reading of 6.89. While the nation’s economic and political path since has not always been smooth, Chile has stayed in the top quartile every year. What does such economic freedom mean on the ground? 

According to the current CIA World Factbook, since the 1980s Chile’s poverty rate has fallen by more than half."

"Zimbabwe is another story. It began 1970 in a slightly better position than Chile, with an EFW reading of 4.96. It was known as Rhodesia then, a new republic trying to transition from British rule. The decade of the 1970s was one of political instability as a government led by Prime Minister Ian Smith contended with both Marxist and Maoist communist groups for the country’s future. The Maoist Zimbabwe African National Union (ZANU) prevailed, changing the nation’s name to Zimbabwe in 1980. ZANU has been in control of Zimbabwe ever since, with Robert Mugabe serving as prime minister or president from 1980-2017.

While ZANU has not remained strictly loyal to the Maoist model of communism, and has attempted some pro-business policies, government intrusion in the economy remains high. Property rights are not well enforced. Corruption is systemic and regulations stifle both new business formation and foreign investment. Consequently, since 2000 Zimbabwe has remained in the bottom quartile of EFW Index scores, with a 2023 reading of 3.91, a 21 percent decline from 1970. 

These numbers have tragic implications, especially for the least privileged. In 2023, Zimbabwe’s poverty rate was over 70 percent and an estimated half the population lived on less than $1.90 per day."

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Trends in Competition in the United States: What Does the Evidence Show?

Carl Shapiro and Ali Yurukoglu. In Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics.

Has the US economy become less competitive in recent decades? One might think so, based on a body of research that has rapidly become influential for antitrust policy. We explain that the empirical evidence relating to concentration, markups, and mergers does not show a widespread decline in competition. Nor does it provide a basis for dramatic changes in antitrust policy. To the contrary, the evidence indicates that many of the trends are likely to reflect competition in action. We identify opportunities for future research in the cross-industry evidence-at-scale paradigm, the industry-specific study paradigm, and their intersection."

 

Report: Arkansas Education Freedom Accounts students test well in ‘fiscally modest’ program

Scores for math, language outdo nationwide averages, UA Department of Education Reform says

By Josh Snyder of the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Excerpts:

"Arkansas students who participated in the Educational Freedom Accounts program last school year outperformed on average 57% of students nationwide in math and 59% of students in English language arts on nationally norm-referenced exams, a new report indicates.

The figures are part of a 92-page report on the Educational Freedom Accounts program for the 2024-25 school year that was published Wednesday by the University of Arkansas Department of Education Reform"

"The program significantly expands state taxpayer funding of student tuition and other costs related to private schools and some homeschool expenses. While it is often referred to as a voucher program, some advocates argue it works differently than traditional vouchers. The 2025-26 school year is the first in which the program is open to all Arkansas students; during the initial 2023-24 school year, enrollment in the program was capped at 1.5%, while in 2024-25 enrollment was capped at 3%."

""The program remained fiscally modest relative to the state's K-12 budget while continuing to build operational capacity and provider choice statewide," it states."

"Of those participants in the 2024-25 school year, 76% attended participating private schools, while 24% used program funds to support their homeschooling."

"Students completed a total of 5,317 tests using the NWEA Measure of Academic Progress. Those students outperformed 58% of students nationwide in math on average and 60% of students nationwide in English language arts" 

"A total of 2,380 tests were completed using the Iowa Test of Basic Skills. On average, students who took that assessment outperformed 62% of students nationwide in math and 64% of students nationwide in English language arts.

Homeschool students outperformed 63% of students nationwide in math on average, and outperformed 68% of students nationwide in English language arts."

"a greater percentage of students participating in the accounts program demonstrated mastery in English language arts, math and science than the statewide aggregate for the exam" 

"The report also argues the Educational Freedom Accounts program saved the state as much as $22 million."

"Students receiving an account get 90% of what public schools get per student in state funding from the previous school year."

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Gavin Newsom Opines on Wealth and Taxes

The California Governor finally admits who pays for Sacramento’s spending—billionaires. 

WSJ editorial. Excerpts:

"He now admits that taxes affect where people choose to live and invest."

"The union claims the measure would raise $100 billion in revenue. That’s doubtful given that it has already spurred many billionaires to decamp."

"“The impact of a one-time tax does not solve an ongoing structural challenge,” the Governor said Thursday. “You would have a windfall one time, and then over the years, you would see a significant reduction in taxes because taxpayers will move.”"

"Mr. Newsom said he is very “mindful” that “we rely on a very small number of people that allows us to do historic things”—i.e., spend at historic levels. His recently proposed budget includes $539 billion in spending, up 68% from 2019."

"the top 1% of earners pay about half of state income tax."

"California’s federal Medicaid dollars this year are projected to increase by $18 billion (15%)." 

Moving from socialism to capitalism greatly improved Poland's economy

See Poland’s Economy Set to Enter Global Top 20 Following Another Strong Year by Don Nico Forbes of The WSJ. Excerpt:

"Poland’s economy topped $1 trillion last year, punctuating a decades-long boom that is in stark contrast to the faltering economies of its much bigger European neighbors.

The milestone, confirmed by data released Friday by the country’s statistics agency, likely lifted Poland into the world’s top 20 economies for 2025. It is expected to supplant Switzerland, which hasn’t yet released its end-of-year tally. Poland now sits right behind No. 19 Saudi Arabia’s $1.3 trillion economy.

Three-and-a-half decades ago, under an isolated communist regime, the purchasing power of an average Pole—adjusted for local prices—was on par with Jamaica. Now, it’s higher than Japan."

Monday, February 9, 2026

New York’s Charter Schools Live Up to Their Promise

Success Academy in the Bronx has a 90% poverty rate yet has reached a 96% proficiency rate in reading

By Jason L. Riley. Excerpts:

"we know from decades of empirical research that public charter schools often outperform their traditional counterparts. The problem is that the American Federation of Teachers, the National Education Association and other opponents of school choice see charters as a threat—not to kids but to unions."

"the decline in the quality of public education in the U.S. predates the advent of charters in the 1990s. Charter schools are being blamed for a pre-existing trend"

"A study of reading outcomes in New York state public schools that serve high concentrations of economically disadvantaged children found a disproportionate number of charter schools winning the highest marks. Charters were 9.5% of the study’s sample but “earned 38.5% of the spots on our list of exemplars.”" 

"The 10 highest-scoring schools were located in New York City, and seven of those were charter schools in the Bronx, which is home to some of the poorest ZIP Codes in the country. “All serve a high concentration of low-income students, with 66% to 92% of children qualifying for free or reduced-price lunch,” the report noted. “And yet, 90% to 97% of their third graders were proficient readers in 2024, the year of our analysis. In comparison, the proficiency rate for all third graders across the state was just 43%.”"

"The top-scoring school was a Success Academy charter school in the Bronx, where the student-body poverty rate is 90% and 94% of students scored proficient in third-grade reading in 2024."

"A wait list in New York City runs to 163,000 students, yet lawmakers have placed an arbitrary limit on the number of charters"