By Nobel Prize Winning Economist Michael Spence. Excerpts:
"The
insight (obvious in retrospect) underlying Airbnb’s model – and the
burgeoning sharing economy in general – is that the world is replete
with under-utilized assets and resources. How much time do we spend
actually using the things – whether cars, bicycles, apartments, vacation
homes, tools, or yachts – that we own? What value do office buildings
or classrooms generate at night?
Answers vary by
asset, individual, household, or organization, but the utilization
numbers tend to be astonishingly low. One recent answer for cars was 8%,
and even that may seem high to someone not burdened by long commutes.
But those numbers are
changing, as the Internet enables creative new business models that
increase not only a market’s efficiency but also the utilization of our
various assets. Hundreds of experiments are being conducted. Clearly,
not all of them will experience the astonishing growth of Airbnb and
Uber. Some, like Rent the Runway for designer clothes and accessories,
may find profitable niches; others will simply fail.
The digital platforms
that act as the basis of all this e-commerce need to meet two related
challenges. The first is to produce a network effect, so that buyers and
sellers find one another often enough and rapidly enough to make a
business sustainable. Second, the platform must create trust – in the
product or the service – on both sides of the transaction."
"The
power of these platforms derives from overcoming informational
asymmetries, by dramatically increasing the signal density of the
market.
Indeed, in order to
encourage infrequent e-commerce users, innovators and investors are
exploring ways to combine the evaluation databases of separate, even
rival, platforms."
"the Internet is lowering the costs of dispersion that once compelled the concentration of work in factories and offices."
"the Internet-led process of exploiting
under-utilized resources – be they physical and financial capital or
human capital and talent – is both unstoppable and accelerating. The
long-term benefits consist not just in efficiency and productivity gains
(large enough to show up in macro data), but also in much-needed new
jobs requiring a broad range of skills. Indeed, those who fear the
job-destroying and job-shifting power of automation should look upon the
sharing economy and breathe a bit of a sigh of relief.
"