Evaluating the free market by comparing it to the alternatives (We don't need more regulations, We don't need more price controls, No Socialism in the courtroom, Hey, White House, leave us all alone)
"In spite of its potential, the use of digital technology is still
basic in most developing countries. This column presents evidence that
firms in Mexico facing higher external competition have used IT more
intensively and efficiently. External competition has encouraged them to
make the necessary complementary investments in innovation and
organizational changes.
Digital technology creates opportunities to accelerate growth as
firms across the world become more connected. But the 2016 World
Bank World Development Report, titled Digital Dividends,
showed that the benefits are neither automatic nor assured. Firms’ use
of digital technologies differs substantially across countries, and
while the internet has reached almost all countries, the use of digital
technologies is still basic in most developing countries (Comin and
Mestieri 2013). In Mexico, 84 percent of firms with at least ten
employees used the internet in 2012, but only 26 percent of employees
had internet access, only 13 percent of firms used e-commerce for
purchases, and 9 percent for sales. What is preventing developing
countries from realizing the benefits of digital technology?
To answer this question, it is important to understand the channels
through which IT affects productivity at the firm level. The relation
between IT and productivity has been widely studied, but there is still
relatively little evidence about these channels. Also, most results have
focused on developed countries. Research suggests that firms must
pursue complementary investments such as changes in business
organization and training, which imply additional costs, to successfully
leverage IT investments (Jorgenson et al. 2008). Recent evidence shows
that the lack of these complementary investments explains differences in
the impact of IT on productivity between the US and advanced European
countries (Bloom et al. 2012). But training and business reorganizations
are costly, so does increased competition create the incentives to
invest in them?
The IT and competition nexus in Mexico
In recent work, we constructed a two-period panel of firm-level
information using Mexico’s National Survey on Information Technologies
from 2009 and 2013 (Iacovone et al. 2016a). This provides detailed
information on IT use and firm performance that, to the best of our
knowledge, has not been used for research before.
We analyzed three physical measures of IT use: computers-per-worker,
the share of labor with internet, and the share of labor with a
computer. The surge of Chinese import competition in the Mexican market
was used to measure differences in the degree of competition, using the
change in the share of China in total Mexican imports for each sector
between 2000 and 2008. We also checked whether more intense Chinese
competition for Mexican exporters to the US market led to changes in
Mexican firms’ use of IT.
We found that firms that faced more intense import competition from
China used IT more intensively (Figure 1) and more efficiently (Figure
2). Firms that faced this external shock of higher foreign competition
between 2000 and 2008, either in the domestic or the US (export) market,
increased the number of computers per employee, the share of labor
using the internet, and their share of online purchases in total
purchases in the subsequent four years 2008–12. As a result, the number
of computers per employee in 2012 was 11 percent higher for firms that
faced more Chinese competition, and the share of online purchases was
114 percent higher.
More intensive use of digital technologies for firms selling products
that directly compete with imports from China also translated into
higher manufacturing productivity growth. For example, firms that
increased their share of workers using the internet from zero to one due
to high import competition from China had 1.2 percent higher
productivity growth between 2008 and 2012. By contrast, ICT use had no
impact on labor productivity growth among Mexican firms that did not
face import competition from China.
The results are robust when using an instrumental variables approach,
relying on subnational and sector-specific information on IT intensity,
to account for the endogeneity between firms’ IT use and productivity.
Figure
1 Mexican firms’ use of ICTs in response to import competition, 2008-12
(percentage-point changes). Source: Iacovone et al. (2016b)
In contrast, we did not find any effects of IT on firm productivity
among Mexican firms that did not face more external competition. Our
findings are consistent with the hypothesis that competition provides
incentives to pursue organizational changes and investment in training
associated to IT. We found similar results when we analyzed Chinese
competition for these firms in the US market.
The finding that firms in more contested industries use digital
technologies more effectively would be consistent with a Schumpeterian
mechanism. The allocation and selection mechanism in Mexican or US
markets that are more intensively contested by competition from China
drives Mexican firms (exporting to the US) to use digital technologies
more intensively and productively.
Figure 2 Change in sales/worker versus ICT use in Mexico, 2008-12. Source: Iacovone et al. (2016b).
How does competition leverage IT effects on productivity?
We also investigated the connection between competition, firm
efficiency in using IT, and complementary investments by using a new set
of questions that was included in the last wave of the survey.
We used two scores on innovation that indicated the extent of
complementary innovative investments that firms have implemented. The
first one recorded innovation activities related to products and
processes, such as reductions of training costs, improvements in the
design of products, and plant scaling. The second measured organization
and marketing innovations, such as access to new markets, better
communication within the firm, and implementation of automated systems.
As Figure 3 shows, firms that faced more external competition had
better scores in both product and processes innovation, as well as in
marketing and organization. In contrast, firms that invested in IT but
did not face more external competition pressures did worse in terms of
innovation.
Figure 3: Mean innovation score by IT use and competition with China. (a) Products and processes(b) Marketing and organization
We also found that IT use only affected the probability of innovation
for firms that competed with Chinese imports. Similarly, the
probability of using software for logistics and distribution and control
of processes increased with firms’ IT use when only among firms that
faced more competition from China. Therefore, our results suggest that
competition generated the incentives to use IT more efficiently by
promoting not only a more intensive use of IT, but also encouraging the
complementary investments in innovation and improvements in an
organization.
When does IT boost firm productivity?
We can conclude that the impact of IT use on productivity would be
contingent on reforming regulatory barriers. This encourages firms to
compete by investing in the efficient use of technology. For instance,
subsidizing IT is not enough if barriers to private sector competition
through regulation, or insufficient antitrust laws, prevent a level
playing field among all firms.
Leonardo Iacovone is a Lead Economist
with the Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice at the World Bank.
Mariana Pereira-López is a consultant with the Trade Competitiveness
Global Practice. Marc Schiffbauer is a Senior Country Economist at the
World Bank."
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