Friday, June 15, 2018

Many large US firms sell, hire and invest more overseas than in US and they have to think globally, not domestically, to survive

From Mark Perry.

"The table above (click to enlarge) is based on financial data included in the World Investment Report 2017, a report produced annually by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and just released with data for 2017. Table 19 of the UNCTAD report lists the world’s top 100 non-financial “Multinational Enterprises” ranked by foreign assets in 2017, and the table above features the 20 multi-national corporations (MNCs) in that group that are headquartered in the US. Displayed above are: a) foreign assets, b) foreign sales, and c) foreign employees, both alone and most importantly as shares of the global totals for those three items for the 20 US-based companies. Those items with shares above 50% are displayed above in bold.

Here are some key points from the table above:
  1. Many of the largest US-based MNCs have close to (or more than) two-thirds of their total sales outside the US, e.g., Intel (80%), Mondelez (76%), Coca-Cola (70%), ExxonMobil (65.4%), Apple (63.2%), and GE (62.1%). Other large American MNCs generate more than 50% of their sales overseas, e.g. Procter and Gamble (58%), Chevron (57%), Oracle (53%), Alphabet (52.7%), IBM (52%) and Pfizer (50.5%).
  2. Almost all of these MNCs have close to half, or more than half, of their global staffing outside the US. Alphabet has almost 87% of its workforce outside of the US, which is a ratio of 6.5 foreign workers for every US employee. DowDuPont (73.8%) and Procter and Gamble (73.4%) have nearly three foreign workers per American employee.
  3. Many of the US MNCs above have close to half, or more than half of their corporate assets (property, plant, and equipment) located outside the US, and some like Coca-Cola (92.4%), Mondelez (84%), Johnson and Johnson (75%), Chevron (72.4%), and DowDupont (66.1%) have two-thirds or more of their assets overseas.
  4. Of the top 25 (50) largest MNCs in the world ranked by foreign assets, only 6 (11) are located in the US, and of the top 100 MNCs, 80 are located outside the US and these foreign-based rivals are engaged in intense competition with US-based companies for global sales and market share.
MP: To remain competitive and profitable in an extremely competitive global marketplace, US firms have to operate as efficiently as possible, and produce their products at the lowest possible cost to survive. The long-term viability and sustainability of US MNCs forces them to minimize production costs for their customers in global markets, and sometimes that requires them to shift production overseas, possibly to take advantage of lower labor costs, lower taxes, or more favorable regulations. It’s also frequently the case that expanding production and manufacturing operations overseas takes place to better serve retail markets outside the US and the 95% of non-American global consumers.
Last year, Intel generated $4 in foreign sales for every dollar in domestic sales, and Mondelez, Apple, Exxon, and Coca-Cola generated close to $2 or more in foreign sales for every dollar of sales in the US. It therefore makes perfect economic sense for those US-based MNCs to source, manufacture and assemble a large share of their production overseas, since such a large majority of their sales take place in foreign markets, and not the US market. In the current nationalistic, jingoistic “America First” politically-charged climate, we’ve seen the Protectionist-in-Chief routinely put political pressure on large MNCs like Intel, Coca-Cola or Apple to shift production of their products to the US where labor costs and corporate taxes are higher, and where production is moved further away from the retail markets where those products will ultimately be sold. Corporate decision-making that is based more by political pressure than sound economics and business considerations, could disrupt those companies’ carefully orchestrated, and maximally-efficient global supply and value chains. To the extent that Team Trump is successful at pressuring US companies like Intel and Apple to shift production from overseas to the US for shallow political purposes, it could put those companies at a competitive disadvantage globally by forcing them to incur higher operational costs.

Bottom Line: It’s important to recognize that large US-based MNCs like the ones in the table above (but also hundreds of other large US multinational firms) operate in a hyper-competitive international marketplace — they produce and sell their products globally, they hire workers globally, they invest in capital assets, infrastructure and real estate globally, and they compete with foreign rivals in an intensely competitive global marketplace. US-based MNCs are already exposed to constant risks, challenges, and gales of Schumpeterian creative destruction, which force them to focus relentlessly on operational efficiencies and low production costs to survive, and they have to make decisions at the global level to compete with their foreign rivals and maintain or grow market share. Saddling American firms with additional, unnecessary and avoidable political burdens, uncertainties, and risks from a protectionist, nationalist, jingoistic xenophobic, “America First” administration that forces firms like those in the table above to think domestically under political pressure rather than globally for economic reasons isn’t a formula to make America great. It’s a formula that’s guaranteed to make American companies weaker and the country poorer, and in the process eliminate, not create more jobs, for US workers."

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