Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Texans support, prosper from free trade

By Vance Ginn and Dayal Rajagopalan of the Texas Public Policy Foundation. Excerpt:

"As voluntary exchange within a legal framework benefits people in U.S. states, an optimal free foreign trade agreement would allow movement of goods among countries while respecting each countries' laws. Unfortunately, politics picks winners and losers, evidenced by NAFTA's 1,700 pages of carve outs for privileged sectors.

Regardless, evidence indicates Americans benefit from NAFTA, particularly in states such as Texas.
In 2016, Texas exports totaled $231.1 billion and imports were $229.3 billion, for a foreign trade surplus of $1.8 billion. Instead of thinking about trade deficits as bad and trade surpluses as good, consider that people benefit by a remarkable total of more than $460 billion through trade.
Texas' trade with Mexico is almost 40 percent of total exports and 35 percent of imports, resulting in a $10.8 billion trade surplus. Exports to Canada are 8.6 percent of total exports and 16 percent of imports, for a $16.6 billion trade deficit.

While NAFTA partially contributes to a $5.8 billion trade deficit in a $1.4 trillion economy, Texans prosper from each individual transaction through overall lower prices and a growing economic pie. Research finds that fewer trade impediments among NAFTA countries helped Texas become economically diversified and more resilient to oil price shocks over time.

In the early 1980s, Texas' mining industry, comprised mostly of oil and natural gas activity, was 21 percent of the state's private economy. While the oil price collapse in 1986 reshaped Texas' economy, there was a steady decline in mining's share after the passage of NAFTA. Mining is now only 8 percent of Texas' private economy as expansions in sectors like health care, technology, and retail outpaced that of oil and gas activity. Result: More Texans have prospered from trade with Canadians and Mexicans. However, foreign trade alone is not wholly responsible for this growth. Pro-growth policies in Texas have also provided the institutional framework for Texans to thrive."

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