Tuesday, July 12, 2016

No, Driving for Uber Is Not a Payday Loan: Critics vastly overestimate cost of driving a car

By Jared Meyer & Nick Archer writing for Reason.

One big point below (see the section in red) is where they say that driving for 10,000 miles costs 57.4 cents per mile but the next 10,000 miles costs 16.4 cents per mile. I think they get this from a table in the AAA report.

That table says the average cost per mile for driving a small sedan is 57.4 cents for 10,000 miles (so total cost is $5,740). But if you drive it 20,000 miles the average cost is 36.9 cents per mile (so total cost is $7,380). So if you drive 20,000 miles instead of 10,000, your cost is $1,640 higher, which works out to 16.4 cents per mile.

So the more you drive, your average cost per miles falls. There must be some fixed costs like insurance that get spread out over more miles. But they don't seem totally clear to me on this.
"Is Uber, a ridesharing company, offering well-paid, flexible employment options or taking advantage of drivers who do not understand the raw deal that they are receiving? A recent YouTube video, Why Uber Is A Scam, has over 875,000 views and claims that math proves driving for Uber is a scam—akin to taking out a payday loan. But beware of sensationalist claims—especially those that show Uber drivers somehow lose money.

Earnings differ by location, but most drivers agree that the average net wage lies between $14 and $15 dollars per hour, after accounting for Uber's fee. However, drivers provide their own cars, are responsible for fuel costs, and have to take into account vehicle maintenance and depreciation. It is difficult to estimate exactly how much drivers spend on their vehicles. But that does not stop those who oppose the sharing economy from dramatically overestimating drivers' costs in efforts to stir up outrage over Uber.

Considering that over half of Uber drivers still actively partner with the platform a year after they first started, the claim that Uber drivers lose money is laughable. But how much does it actually cost to drive for Uber?

Showing their confusion about the associated costs of driving with Uber, many commentators accept the 54 cents per mile that the IRS allows drivers to deduct from their taxes as the cost of driving. This amount drastically overstates the cost of owning, operating, and maintaining a vehicle, and assumes the vehicle is used only to drive for Uber.

To obtain a far more accurate estimate of the costs of driving, one must isolate the increase in costs attributable to the extra miles driven for Uber. In other words, people should not look at the cost of driving, for example, 10,000 miles per year. What needs to be analyzed are the costs from increasing vehicle usage from 10,000 miles per year to 20,000 miles per year.

The difference is massive.

According to AAA's 2016 report, after taking into account vehicle, maintenance, and fuel costs, driving 10,000 miles per year in a small sedan (the preferred vehicle for Uber drivers) costs an average of 57.4 cents per mile. This is a significant sum, and one that would make driving for Uber a lot less appealing. However, the benefit of Uber is that drivers usually already own and drive their vehicles non-commercially (around 13,000 miles per year on average).

The median Uber driver drives 10 hours per week. Based on this hours driven, capacity utilization rates, average speed, and passenger wait times, we estimate that average Uber drivers partner with the company for roughly 10,000 miles per year. For simplicity, let us assume that typical drivers increase their driving volume from 10,000 miles to 20,000 miles per year by deciding to partner with Uber. AAA's 2016 report and basic algebra reveal that the 10,000 additional miles cost only 16.4 cents per mile. This is a far cry from the oft-cited 54 cents a mile.

As driving volume increases, both personally and commercially, this price falls lower still. For Uber drivers working 10 hours per week and driving 10,000 miles per year, the cost of owning and operating their small sedans for the additional 10,000 miles comes to $3.15 per hour. This expenditure is far less than what is assumed by some of Uber's critics (around $15 per hour).

Of course larger cars have larger costs—the second 10,000 miles in a medium-size sedan cost 19.8 cents per mile. But even this expense is still only 37 percent of the 54 cents per mile claim. These numbers show how Uber drivers derive substantial cost advantages (in terms of cost per mile) from using vehicles that are already owned and personally driven. Uber drivers and customers all benefit from this crucial advantage.

These costs are not exact and they vary by driver and location, but our numbers offer a clear picture of what makes the sharing economy so transformative. By utilizing underused resources such as houses, vehicles, and tools, and by allowing people to monetize underused portions of their time, the sharing economy takes advantage of the significantly lower costs that come from marginally increased usage.
Instead of paying 57.4 cents per mile to operate a company-owned taxi for 10,000 miles, ridesharing drivers pay 16.4 cents per mile to operate their cars an additional 10,000 miles. Similarly, instead of paying $300 to buy a table saw, the sharing economy's platforms allow someone to rent an unused table saw on NeighborGoods at a miniscule marginal cost.

Sharing-economy services make it faster and easier for people to take advantage of productive efficiencies for the betterment of both providers and users. So no, Uber is not some new version of payday loans. Don't believe everything you see on YouTube."

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